Single national curriculum: All hat and no cattle

Single national curriculum: All hat and no cattle

Dr. Hassnain Javed

AUGUST 26, 2020

The Federal Minister for Education and Professional Training Shafqat Mehmood’s statement, “we have attempted to define a curriculum which is outcome based, to create a more fair system” appears vapid when juxtaposed against A.H Nayyar’s assertion that Single National Curriculum (SNC) confirms that educational policy makers continue to have a skewed belief in what constitutes quality education.

PTI’s Naya Pakistan promised an end of education apartheid by bringing a uniform curriculum in the country. After 18 months of tiring consultative process what it achieves left most educationists disgruntled.

The SNC that has been approved so far presents curriculum for grades I-V but its flaws are already becoming apparent. The biggest concern so far has been around government’s move to bring the madrasa to public and private schools. The manner in which religious studies are made part of SNC, it reminds of 1980s controversial imported American Curriculum of Talibanisation.

Post 9/11 scenario brought Madrassas under criticism as the main sources of fundamentalism and militancy in Pakistan. Generally, they propagated a myopic and militant version of Islam.

Under International pressure, efforts were made to bring all madrassas into the mainstream of Pakistani society with mandatory registration and course offerings in english, mathematics, science and business studies. Students who completed these courses were given certificates equivalent to public school after ten years of education. The move was initiated to blunt the potential temptation to militancy and provide future employment opportunities.

In 2017 PTI’s provincial government in Khyber Pashtunkhwa gifted a huge grant of $2.7 millions in public funds to Akora Khattak madrassa of a man who proclaimed himself as “the father of Taliban”. The decision was criticised widely as an act of supporting extremist elements and dishonoring the martyrs of December 2014, militant attack in APS Peshawar.

Most of the educationists fear that PM Imran Khan’s inclination toward madrasas might lead this country into an era of the dark ages. The greater dose of religious education offered in SNC would be a death kneel of critical thinking and reasoning in schools. According to the arrangement worked out in the SNC, the madrasa teachers will get jobs in schools which would give them huge influence over young minds.

These fears aren’t baseless, in recent years multiple incidents have been reported involving violence against teachers and students with moderate and progressive views. Lynching of Mashal Khan and muder of a professor in Bahawalpur for merely organising a farewell party speaks volumes that our syllabus and narrative need to change. We need teachers in schools that do not propagate hatred and contaminate mind of our children.

It is problematic how naive madrasa teachers portray Islam as opposing science and reasons. They spread their faulty understandings of religion to confuse students. Few months back, Maulana Imran Attari on Madni TV told his young students that the Earth is stationary while the student argued that their Geography syllabus told them otherwise. It is expected that similar type of confusions would arise if we put future of our youth in such hands.

Moreover public/private schools provide employment opportunities for females. It is still unclear how they would react to SNC latest decision, would they feel comfortable teaching liberal subjects? How would school administration strike a balance between opposing viewpoints of modern versus religious ideas.

Paulo Freire in his book,” Pedagogy of the Oppressed” states that the tragic dilemma of the oppressed which their education must take into account is presence of duality, they internalise the consciousness of the oppressor. This is exactly what we witness in this SNC, under an illusion to reform madrasa, in reality we are turning schools into seminaries.

Pakistan has the youngest population in the South Asia almost 64% are below 30. Yet we are worst performers in terms of technical and vocational education and training

What history taught us over time is that our best hope for bringing a new wave of progres lies only if we invest in the future of our youth and make them responsible for the success of our economy. A Chinese proverb says,

“if you plan for a year, plant corn. If you plan for a decade, plant a tree. But if you plan for a life, train people.

Pakistan has the youngest population in the South Asia almost 64% are below 30. Yet we are worst performers in terms of technical and vocational education and training. Unfortunately, SNC doesnot focus on providing an effective development and implementation strategy to harness its young potential. It stays silent on initiating a school vocational training programmes to ensure practical skills training at school level.

We talk to make CPEC a success but we can only reap its maximum benefits if we connect the world of learning with work and equip our youth with requirements of the digital age and instill capabilities required to do them. Such initiatives will increase the earning capacity, decrease unemployment and contribute to poverty reduction.

In the end I would appreciate an honest assertion of Dr Maryam Chughtai that in a parliamentary system one cannot neglect the demand of all political parties to teach Nazrah Quran to Muslim students. She acknowledged that as a policy maker, her personal take on issues take a backseat when constitutional restraints and majoritarian democracy takes over. But I consider it an intellectual corruption when scholars of her stature can’t ratiocinate the consequences of their decision. Sadly, an elite class of Harvard alumni i.e Shafqat Mehmood and Maryam Chughtai have turned a Nelson’s eye to the festering issue of Education in Pakistan.

The author is Special Advisor (Pakistan Institute of Management, Lahore operated under Federal Ministry of Industries and Production, Islamabad) and Foreign Research Associate (Centre of Excellence, China Pakistan Economic Corridor, Islamabad)

Budget 2020-2021: Reality Check (Part II)

Budget 2020-2021: Reality Check (Part II)

Hassnain Javed

June 26, 2020

 

Moreover, the manufacturing sector will grow by 0.7% whereas the service sector will grow by 2.6%. The service sector can only grow if there is more growth in the manufacturing sector otherwise it will experience a trickle-down effect. For instance, if farmers do not have a higher yield and farm productivity, he will never plan to spend on tourism or avail other services. If the farmer has an output equivalent to its given inputs or slightly higher he will primarily focus on the necessities to be fulfilled rather than sending his children to urban cities for higher education instead will ask his children to stay in the village and attain the education. In crux, if there is lower growth in the manufacturing sector then technically the service sector cannot flourish. Also, the government employees do the major chunk of spending whereas in the coming fiscal year they have a 14% cut in their regular pay. Thus, they will also not contribute much to the service sector. However, the tourism sector is open amid COVID19 probably it can generate some pennies but realistically cannot provide cushion to higher growth in the service sector.

According to an Economic Survey of Pakistan, the public sector enterprises primarily; Pakistan Steel Mills, Pakistan International Airlines, Pakistan Railways, and other 34 public sector enterprises annually gallop approximately Rs.1150 billion. In contrast, as per the government spokesperson presenting budget said there is an Rs.1300 billion deficit. I wonder where Rs.150 billion deficit will get adjusted. However, the ruling government proclaimed to bring betterment indeed efficient management system and target towards self-sustainability in the existing public sector enterprises with the help of 200 technical expert teams. The Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) Chairman frequently visits the concerned Minister and Prime Minister for the monthly deficit amounting to Rs.6 billion. Although, there was a hefty reception of PIA.

Pakistan is under hot waters and it requires the immediate and appropriate actions to be undertaken to get Pakistan out of the macro and microeconomic imbalances

Besides this, the Finance Minister during a seminar held in Islamabad in January 2020 stated that Pakistan has to repay Rs.3500 billion interest on loans whereas the government spokesperson-presenting budget said Pakistan has paid off Rs.5000 billion interest on loans in the fiscal year 2019-2020. As we can see, there is a straight difference between Rs.1500 billion. Interestingly, right after the budget presentation, the Finance Minister told the media that Pakistan has paid of Rs.2900 billion interest on loans for the fiscal year 2019-2020. Therefore, it is difficult to understand either Rs.3500 billion, Rs.5000 billion, or either Rs.2900 billion is the right statement. There is another misstatement during the budget that the existing government has taken the economy out from B3 negative to B3 positive although the scenario was different. The economy experienced negative B3 growth due to the current policies and B3 negative growth does not turn into positive directly it first requires getting neutral and then translating into growth. If we have a glance at Moody’s report B3 is neutral now and will not turn positive until unless Pakistan comes out from FATF grey list. Currently, Pakistan’s sovereignty is pledge due to inefficiencies and incompetency of the concerned authority in power. Moreover, it is said there is no land grant given during the fiscal year 2019-2020 however, Rs.420 million had been granted.

Another interesting contradiction made during the budget presentation is budget deficit amounting to 9.1% of the GDP whereas by the end of the speech the spokesperson said the budget deficit is 7% of GDP. Moreover, the government believed they have made two important contributions targeted on economic welfare and targeted subsidy, which includes Ehsass Program (Rs. 208 billion projects) although Pakistan did not even have 14% of inflation, likewise, Higher Education Commission (HEC) which budget has been raised from Rs.59 billion to Rs.64 billion although increase by Rs.5 billion is meaningless. Moreover, the Public Sector Development Program (PSDP) has been raised to Rs.650 billion that is the Federal government development program. Furthermore, it is also stated during the budget presentation that the ruling government has adopted Rs.1100 billion circular debt in the power sector. Although, the previous government has inherited Rs.480 billion circular and left with the valuation of Rs.1100 billion in 5 years tenure. However, the current government has increased circular debt by more than Rs.2400 billion in two years. Apart from this, ML1 (Karachi-Peshawar Railway Line) is an Rs.7 billion project however Rs.24 billion budget is allocated for it. The main highlight of the budget is the non-existence of the term China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and no budget or either fund allocation for CPEC and its related projects. Although the Ministry for Climate Change gets the Rs.6 billion budget allocation, Rs.20 billion is allocated to the Ministry of Science and Technology, Rs.40 billion for Railway ministry. However, there is no specific budget allocation for CPEC and its related projects. Also, there is approximately Rs.115 billion tax revenue collection from the Tobacco and Narcotics sector that is 60% of the value, and the remaining 40% is not collected due to tax evasion. The illegal tax mafia who were penalized by the existing government has been given huge relief by having duty based on grams of filters purchased rather than the cost price of filters. It might not be major tax relief for taxpayers but surely for tax-evaders. Lastly, the government has announced the imported clothes and its related products to be duty-free as clothes were smuggled. Nevertheless, this will ultimately cause disaster and shutdown of the local textile industry as the imported clothes will come in bulk and cheaper due to their mass-scale production.

To conclude, Pakistan is under hot waters and it requires the immediate and appropriate actions to be undertaken to get Pakistan out of the macro and microeconomic imbalances. If a similar situation persists then certainly the public at large will lose hope. The ruling government had established higher expectations that require to be fulfilled as the evidence of COVID19 changed the global power dynamics. The leaders of Pakistan need to be watchful and well prepare for the existing deep-rooted economic epidemic. It is a need of time to devise a vaccine for economic stability rather than running the testing and experimental trails as it is not the cure to root cause problems.

Chinese Digital currency: Challenge vs Opportunity

Chinese Digital currency: Challenge vs Opportunity

Hassnain Javed

MAY 18, 2020

 

The outbreak of Covid19 has certainly turned the global dynamics and has given birth to new inventions, innovations, and most importantly restructuring from the institutional level to everyday lifestyles. The origin station of global shift China which is the second-largest world economy on a nominal basis in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and number one ranked in terms of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) has launched its very own digital currency backed by the Chinese Central Bank. It is known as the electronic Renminbi (e-RMB) that can change the world finance forever. Thus, it is required to know the basics of the Chinese currency, reasons behind launching the e-RMB, technical aspects of e-RMB, China’s monetary system, and e-RMB, analyze how this digital currency will influence the financial dynamics across the globe and how it has threatened the US dollar.

Renminbi means the “People’s Money”, official currency of China that acts as a medium of exchange but the Yuan is the unit of account of the country’s economic and financial system. From the past 40 years, China has put much work and efforts on achieving Den Xiaoping vision for globalization and has successfully achieved the trade globalization the day they joined hands with World Trade Organization (WTO), economic globalization by launching the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) raised the world debt by providing loans and formed their equity, military, and geostrategic globalization by strengthening their People’s Liberalization Navy at multiple places. But Chinese markets are so far lacking behind the financial globalization as the communist ideology works opposite the authoritarian regime. It requires financial openness like in Pakistan in terms of stock markets, debt market, etc. for which China has imposed certain restrictions and without that, it is not possible to replace the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.

Until and unless China does not achieve financial globalization they cannot fulfill their 2050 vision. Thus, it is of significance to review the Chinese digital currency in this aspect. Historically, the US exchange rate appreciates whereas Chinese currency depreciates against it. Now, why China depreciates the Yuan against the dollar to accelerate their respective export base. As the Chinese currency depreciates it becomes easier for other countries to buy at lower rates. Similarly, when Pakistan currency depreciates it acts as a catalyst for exporters, IT companies, and especially overseas Pakistanis.

We have to analyze how this digital currency will influence the financial dynamics across the globe and how it has threatened the US dollar

There are six key reasons why China has launched e-RMB. The foremost reason and long-run strategy by the Chinese economy are to replace the dollar to remove the danger bell of exclusion and sanctions. A sovereign digital currency provides a functional alternative to the dollar settlement system and blunts the impact of any sanctions or threats of exclusion both at a country and company level. In the global financial system, the former governor of China’s central bank said last year that the digital currency would eventually be integrated into China’s Belt on Road Initiative. China has been pushing to make the Yuan International but the US dollar still makes up about 60% of foreign exchange reserves worldwide in contrast the Chinese Yuan only makes up about 2%.

Secondly, China aims to achieve financial globalization as it may also facilitate integration into globally traded currency markets with a reduced risk of politically inspired disruption and security for traders. Thirdly, to achieve more control as cash transactions were offline and transaction data from existing payment platforms were scattered, the Central Bank of China was unable to monitor cash flow in real-time. The digital Yuan is issued and backed by the Chinese central bank it’s not decentralized and will not provide the same anonymity as other cryptocurrencies do. Therefore, it is not an independent currency itself it’s just the digital version of the Chinese Renminbi there’s always a central authority in this digital Renminbi system that’s the Chinese communist regime. Therefore, it is of view that the new digital currency aims to replace Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies with a system controlled by government authorities. Due to its centralized structure, it would give the authorities more control over the everyday lives of Chinese people. The government can directly control each person’s wallet and decide how you can spend your own money, for example, let’s say the government paid someone a salary of 3,000RMB. If the needed Chinese government can restrict money making it so one can only spend 1000RMB on essentials. The system could also be used to suppress residents to restrict their access to necessities or in extreme cases seize personal property.

Fourthly, there is a rise of private money and there is a growing sense that Central banks globally should issue a digital version of cash to prevent the privatization of money by commercial entities and IT firms. For instance, cryptocurrency Bitcoin was introduced by private entities and Libra cryptocurrency by Mark Zuckerberg has already threatened the Central banks across the globe. Fifthly, there is an existing Chinese blockchain. In the past week, China has made its Blockchain-based Service Network (BSN) available for global commercial use. The BSN is led by the Chinese government-backed think tank State Information Center. It is a global infrastructure that claims to help projects create and run new blockchain applications for a lower cost. It also aims to accelerate the development of smart cities and the digital economy.

Finally, there is an impact of still raging novel coronavirus pandemic, and the higher health and hygiene awareness among the masses have also added the impetus to the trail of the digital currency. While there is a dramatic drop in the cash in circulation in Wuhan, China. After the initial ground zero of the viral outbreak, most retailers refuse to accept coins or paper money as a precaution against the highly contagious pathogen. This new technology allows the digital currency to be exchanged without an internet connection, and that it can be used to make contactless payments.

Besides this, there are certain technical aspects of e-RMB. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Digital Currency Research Institute does not want a blockchain-based approach as it is a decentralized and distributed digital ledger. PBoC’s role is centralized bookkeeping and administration. Moreover, the sovereign digital currency will be pegged to the national currency. The digital Yuan e-RMB will have the same legal tender status as cash. China has been working on the Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP) project for the digital version of the Yuan since 2014 and there is talk that the Central government hopes to launch a form of e-currency for the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics that’s why a screenshot of an internal mobile application showing a digital banknote attracted so much attention on social media. For now, the digital Yuan is too theoretical but how would it affect our daily life, how digital currency saves China’s efforts to create a cashless society resemble what is happening elsewhere in the world.

The prevailing drive to go digital is one of the new normal. China is introducing a new digital currency backed by its central bank it is said to make payment easier and faster but an analyst warns it could be used to tighten the regime’s control of the Chinese people. China is testing a new digital currency with a pilot program and Chinese official claims to launch it May 2021. It is set to be the first digital currency used by a major economy after years of development the program began last month in four Chinese cities starting in May some government workers will receive part of their paychecks in the digital currency to use if they need to install an app the currency’s value is pegged to the Yuan, unlike other cryptocurrencies. The PBoC will be the sole issuer of the digital Yuan. Initially, it will be offering digital money to commercial banks and other operators. In contrast, the public would be able to convert money in their bank accounts to the digital version and make deposits via electronic wallets.

Now, the question is China alone at the outset of digital currency then certainly no. As many “Central Bank Digital Currencies” (CBDC) are being thought of across the world. The interest in CBDCs is due to factors like declining cash use and privately owned ‘stable coins’ such as Facebook’s Libra. The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) confirmed in April that it had received an application for a payment system license from the Geneva-based association governing Facebook’s planned cryptocurrency Libra. Similarly, the central banks of France and the UK are also both moving forward in respect of CBDCs. Now, will Pakistan also launch its e-Rupee backed by the State bank? Certainly, shortly, Pakistan will also have to introduce it.

Moreover, there is also a need to understand the China monetary system and e-RMB. In the existing system, there are forms of money supplies and savings like M0, M1, M2, M3, and M4. With e-RMB a part of the Chinese M0 supply will be digitalized. China’s M0 supply stood at 8.3 trillion yuan in 2019 but the annual increase in this has slackened to just 3-4% since 2012 and is impervious to the surges in credit and loans due to the introduction of WeChat Payments and AliPay. The PBoC Governor Yi Gang said all paper money issued and in circulation or deposits will not be affected. Although, the cash system needs to be reformed now. The velocity of the money in circulation will not be disrupted either.

To conclude, we have to analyze how this digital currency will influence the financial dynamics across the globe and how it has threatened the US dollar. Digital payment platforms are already widespread in China, namely Alipay, owned by Alibaba’s Ant Financial and WeChat Pay owned by Tencent but they do not replace the existing currency. With PBoC’s backing, the e-RMB will gain traction fast and give the duopoly of Alipay and Wechat pay tough competition. PBoC has already clarified that transactions facilitated by these platforms fall in the category of M1 and M2 and would not be affected when part of the nation’s MO supply is digitalized. The PBoC is starting trails in Shenzhen, Suzhou, Chengdu, and Xiong’an, a new national development zone on the outskirts of Beijing. The pilot scheme will be expanded to cover high-denomination banknotes. McDonald’s, Starbucks, and Subway were among the 19 mass consumption brands and retailers participating in the trail. A nationwide rollout is expected in two to three years when the PBoC aims to reduce the amount of hard cash it needs to prints. Likewise, ATMs and counters at the bank will become redundant.

The upcoming digital Yuan will be “tokenized” money, fully backed by the Central bank of the world’s second-largest economy. Its value draws from the Chinese state’s ability to impose taxes in perpetuity. Other nationals are bound to follow soon. The token will be a private blockchain, a peer-to-peer network for sharing information, and validating transactions, with the People’s Bank of China in control of who gets to participate. To begin with, the currency will be supplied via the banking system and replace some parts of physical cash. It will not be hard cash, given the ubiquitous presence of Chinese QR-code based digital wallets such as Alipay and WeChat Pay. Indeed, it will start small, but the digital yuan can disrupt both the traditional banking and the post-Bretton Woods system of floating exchange rates that the world has lived with since 1973. For China, blockchain and the Yuan digital currency are a national strategic priority almost at the level of the internet.

 

Monk, media, and monarchy!

Monk, media, and monarchy!

Hassnain Javed

MAY 4, 2020

 

 

“All the world’s a stage, and all the men and women merely players. They have their exits and their entrances, and one man in his time plays many part” —(William Shakespeare)

William Shakespeare rightly explained the human phenomena and their respective interchangeable, multidimensional roles. In the prevalent circumstances, Pakistan is experiencing the trichotomy between Monk (Mullah’s), Media (All forms of media, print, electronic and social) and Monarchy (State and Governance Structure). Are they the victims, persecutors, or rescuers? The key roles are not yet clearly defined in the global pandemic and domestically drama triangle.

The trichotomy defines themselves as victims in some instances or becomes persecutors. As Monks (Mullah’s) are holding massive gatherings when their rights and opinion is not given due importance. Each monk has its way of thinking and interpretation from the Holy doctrine so does their opinion varies. For instance, despite following the same Holy book there is practicing of both Popalzai doctrine and Mufti Muneeb Ur Rehman doctrine on Eid festival announcement every year. The Eid announcement should be unanimous decision nationwide but different doctrines made it a completely different story. On the other hand, media becomes the victim by carrying a black ribbon when media is under attack and their opinions suffered atrocities at the end of persecutors. The situation is no different for the monarchy as every elected ruling government becomes a victim of previous government incapable decisions, corruption, and worse economic and financial position handed over to them. It explains the mechanism of interchangeability between the three constructs.

Monk, media, and monarchy all have to come out of the persecutor and victim role and take the responsibility of rescuer as the main pillars of the economy. The nation will collapse if a similar situation persists

In recent global Covid19 pandemic, initially, monks were portrayed as the persecutors by not adhering to scientific findings despite the Holy book encapsulating all the scientific secrets and truth at the diverse spectrum that enables humans to take advantage and repercussion in every walk of life. It is observed that some of the monks were misguiding their followers for not adhering to the idea of social distancing for preventive measures and considering the scientific measures as obsolete and holding massive gatherings. Although, the Holy book (Quran) provides the scientific methodologies and reasoning for the major aspect of humans and nature whereas the beloved Prophet Muhammad (SAW) teachings and way of life add a further explanation on the given teachings. However, due to multiple monks and their respective dogmatism and doctrines (such as Qadri beliefs, Ghamdi beliefs, Tariq Jamil beliefs, Israr’s belief, etc.) today the Islamic beliefs and religion are unable to play their role as Masaya (Rescuer). Although it is practiced previously by great Islamic philosophers such as Al-Masudi (the pioneer of historical geography), Al-Kindi (pioneer of environmental sciences), Al-Biruni (pioneer of reaction time), Averroes (pioneer of Parkinson’s disease), Ibn E Arabi (the science of divine knowledge),Ibn E Khuldun, Jabir ibn Hayyan (father of chemistry), Ibn Rushd, etc. At the outset of the present pandemic, most of the monks are trying to cover themselves from the label of persecutors and falling apart as victims. Although, this is time to follow the historic footsteps of Islamic philosophers and contribute to innovative inventions amid Covid19 along with disseminating the knowledge that helps educate their illiterate followers.

The very moment and circumstances are not to blame each other play interchangeable roles. Either all the three respective roles, portray themselves as victims or in a certain situation, they slogan as persecutor but none of them in the prevalent pandemic taken the lead as a rescuer. We are living in the era of artificial intelligence where bioengineering, global warming, cyber warfare, and most recently bio warfares have taken the lead roles. Therefore, it is important to identify the grass root problems and channelize how monk, media, and monarchy can effectively play their respective designated roles to resolve the major challenges that erupted in the contemporary world. For this purpose, we need to distinguish between three types of problems that include technical problems, policy problems, and identity problems.

In the case of Pakistan technical problems defines the agreement of China Pakistan Economic Corridor with a lack of expert technical staff to effectively execute the project during the stated timeframe. Pakistan has taken in many such initiatives but unfortunately, it fails to realize to win the marathon it is important that its players are well equipped and eligible. A toddler, who is in the crawling phase, should not be accepted to run and compete for the champions in friction of seconds. It is good to put yourself in challenging tasks but it requires the essential ingredients of passion and clear purpose, which translate into desired performance.

In contrast, policy problems are reform structuring. Pakistan is launching different policies for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs), agricultural farmers and Kamyab Naujawan Schemes, etc. but it is important to understand how these policies and programs will become effective for that supportive organs are required to actualize the real motive. For instance, China has established state-owned enterprises (SOEs) but before that, they educate their society on the significance of SOEs, the technical procedures involved to operate and get the benefit of SOEs policies. Moreover, in the wake of Covid19 they didn’t lose hope, and in a brief time with well-functioning supporting organs they are if not fully at least partially recovered and have started moving again whereas the case is opposite in Pakistan where most of its supporting organs are either malnourished or either on ventilators. Pakistan needs to focus on policy problems that are optimistic and realistic and holds the bitter truth and grey realities of its economy at hand. The major concern for the Pakistan monarchy should be dealing in the post Covid19 world when there will be a massive paradigm shift and world operating with new dynamics.

Besides this, identity problems indeed Pakistan is surfaced with identity crises, we, as a nation is not united there are major inter-provincial conflicts. The common Pakistani national desire to have its luxurious apartment amid the scenic and refreshing breeze of Switzerland, high-class well-functioning CEO office in the Wall Street, United States, five-star pilgrimage packages for performing prayers and the final coffin to buried in Jannat ul Baqi (Medinah) thus no affiliation with motherland Pakistan. They did not agree with idea of be Pakistan and buy Pakistan. This explains the identity problems in our economy. The world economies have experienced success on the grounds of nationalism and unity and have experienced the downfall of their mighty empires due to weakening fundamentals.

To conclude, monk, media, and monarchy all have to come out of the persecutor and victim role and take the responsibility of rescuer as the main pillars of the economy. The nation will collapse if a similar situation persists. There is no longer time to waste indeed we as an individual launch the movement to act as rescuer and educate our fellows to act and behave as a Masaya. Lastly, I extend my tribute to Edhi Sahab how being a common person he laid his life as a Masaya for Pakistan keeping his self-interests aside.

Governance Structure And Covid19

Hassnain Javed

APRIL 27, 2020

 

In the present world humans, still have many big choices to make. Among the biggest challenge, these days is how to deal with the crisis either through nationalistic isolation by having each country competing with all the others for the scarce resources or whether they will deal with it through international solidarity and cooperation. Is it the clash of civilizations, nationalism, community, or religion? As every economy is coping with the current challenge according to its governance structure, even the world’s best economies with advanced technology have certainly collapsed in the current scenario.

It will shape not just the crisis but also the world for years to come. Early on the level of each country, each country has to choose whether it deals with the crisis in an authoritarian way by empowering some dictator or powerful authority or whether it deals with the crisis by empowering the citizens and teaching democratic checks and balances. The way decisions are being made today, whatever comes afterward, it is like coming to a party after the party is over and the only thing left to do is to wash the dishes. Every governance structure in their respective capacity and capabilities are handing out trillions of dollars and coping up with the changing job market and economic dynamics. Therefore, whoever enters in 2021 will find it very difficult to rewind the movie and try something else.

In present circumstances, the hierarchy of governance structure is questioned that explains the presence of democracy. Besides this, amid Covid19 there is mistrust among politicians, scientists, right now they are rarely being heard and listened in the manner that one thinks they probably should be. Based on the precedents and logical rational without trust, one cannot deal with their crisis effectively. In recent years, we had politicians deliberately undermine the trust in public authorities, in science, and the media. Apart from this, I think the good sign though is that at least when it comes to science and scientific authority we have seen that almost all over the world people have a hidden reservoir of deep trust in science, despite the recent years of attacks on science. For instance, Pakistan the government closed down the mosques. Churches all over the world are telling people to stay away from the church. Because the scientists said so.

Firstly, we can observe the mass surveillance entering and being adopted in democratic countries that previously resisted them. Secondly, we see the nature of surveillance changing from over the skin surveillance to under skin surveillance

When we move forward if we have to think about how this time will influence the way, we socially interact with each other going forward. However, as explained in my previous articles there is a world order in remaking. There could be big changes in the job market, in the university. Some universities move online, then this will create a completely different social atmosphere for the students. Nevertheless, the fundamentals of human nature will not change. For instance, the Black Death did not change human nature. In 1918, the influenza epidemic did not change human nature and Covid-19 will not change human nature.

If we have a glance at the maybe the last big epidemic, the AIDs epidemic that was in many ways much worse than what is happening now if you get coronavirus you have a very good chance of living. In the early 1980s, if you got AIDs you died. Actually, for the first time in history, we have everything needed to overcome this epidemic. Above all a good scientific understanding of what causes the disease and how to prevent it from spreading. During the Black Death, maybe the biggest problem was ignorance. People were dying in the millions, all around, and nobody had any idea why people were dying and what could be done about it. The medical faculty in Paris and the University of Paris, their best estimate was that this is something to do with the astrological position of the sun. Even a hundred years ago during the big 1918 influenza, the best scientists were working on it, and nobody discovered what was the actual violence causing the epidemic. Now it took us two weeks to identify the correct virus, and develop reliable tests. Therefore, we are really in a better position than at any time before. What we do not necessarily have is the political wisdom to make use of our immense power. Maybe the biggest problem of all is the lack of international cooperation and global solidarity. We should not be afraid of the virus. Indeed, we should be more concerned about the inner humanity coming out, how people are reacting to this crisis, not with solidarity but with hatred or grief.

Now nobody is taking the global responsibility and therefore so far we do not have a global plan of action, not in the field of health care and certainly not in the economic field. Many countries are looking just about their interest and competing with other countries for medical equipment. Traditionally the U.S. was the responsible adult, in a case like the Ebola epidemic or the 2008 financial crisis, they step forward to be the leader of humanity and in both cases managed to gather enough countries around it to prevent the worst outcome. Now the U.S. has undertaken this role as a global leader. Briefly explained they do not want this job. They care only about themselves. Besides, when you look at the actual response of the U.S. in its own house to the epidemic, it is worsening daily than almost any other country. Not just compared to China, but also compare it to South Korea, to New Zealand, even to Greece, Greece is also doing an amazing job in containing this epidemic. If Ii had to choose, say between China and the US, who should be leading the world now giving us a plan of action. I would choose China. In this hour of emergency, the effectiveness and futuristic approach of the Chinese governance structure has certainly set the benchmark for world order in remaking.

To conclude, it could be good but one has to be very careful about it. What is happening now, really a watershed in the history of surveillance? Firstly, we can observe the mass surveillance entering and being adopted in democratic countries that previously resisted them. Secondly, we see the nature of surveillance changing from over the skin surveillance to under skin surveillance. Over the skin surveillance is say the government or corporation watching, monitoring where you go, what you buy, what you watch on television. Under the skin, surveillance starts with monitoring your blood pressure, but ultimately it is about tagging your body and brain and knowing what you are feeling each movement, not just pain or coughing, but emotions as well. Interestingly, ten years in the future, fast forward, North Korea, citizens has to wear a biometric bracelet on their arm and have to watch a big speech by big leaders. Also, when they watch the speech, it will detect what is happening in their citizen’s body. They can smile and clap their hands but if they are angry actually, the device will configure it. Thus, in the future, one could have no control over what is happening in their body. So this is no longer science fiction, this is already within reach of present-day technology and the coronavirus epidemic can be the watershed event when government going under our skin becomes were accessible.

New world order in re-making!

New world order in re-making!

Hassnain Javed

MARCH 30, 2020

 

 

Managing the known was a general phenomenon and practicing field for the creatures of 21st century. Although, the past has always provided precedent of transitional and evolutionary transformational mechanism that sheds significance at two extremes either the success or failure. The futuristic approach and one’s smooth convergence to new normal and behavior is referred as success and those who stay bare-footed to catch-up with the evolutionary phases experienced failure at their fate. Indeed, success is the combination of preparation and luck which simultaneously bounced back the mental block there is but one rule hunt or be-hunted.

With the advent of insidious COVID 19 the planet, earth is temporarily shut for holistic maintenance and re-making. Moreover, human civilization requires inventing a new understanding of what it exactly means to be human. There is cooking of new diplomatic order with emergence of new recipe to support the new kind of political philosophy that ensures sustainability during the pandemic and assurance of rebuilding after it passes. The need of time is to build new global public health care systems that can reduce the risk of another pandemic and help save the human life. As soon as human species get adaptable to new taste buds there will be on pathway for defining a new phenomenon and philosophy of what it means to be human. The similar approach is adopted in aftermath of World War II in the wake of massive deaths, social disarray and economic collapse.

In the present world its Coronavirus whereas in the 12th Century was the Bronze Age collapse. Lessons from the past, indeed 3000 years back can help the residents of planet earth explore how to make through the end of world. At the peak of the Bronze Age, there was development of extremely complex and centralized civilizations across the Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean. However, in just a span of 100 years there was hit by one another calamities and it took very long before the region engine started moving pace with advent of knowledge and power of writing. It was followed by series of disasters, which includes a widespread drought in the Mediterranean basin, and the unknown arrival of mysterious sea people. The Bronze Age societies were highly complexed and centralized where the kings or either the bureaucrats decide when, where and how to plant stuff. That was the main point that triggered me so much about our modern day society, which is repeating the same mistake of clashing with laws of nature.

In order to conclude, the new world order in remaking will definitely tame, train and facilitate the human civilization accordingly with some of the new features that were initially disproved but now form the new normal

Indeed, the mere reality survival of the fittest is coherently dependent on governing authorities and their reforms, governance, structure and policies working in the semi-perfect environment with the gazillion other exogenous factors to ensure the sustainability of global populace. Nevertheless, if this system is on the spinning wheel of disruption and took multiple roller coaster rides over a long period at diverse horizon it will ultimately result in collapse.

Managing the known was a general phenomenon and practicing field for the creatures of 21st century. Although, the past has always provided precedent of transitional and evolutionary transformational mechanism that sheds significance at two extremes either the success or failure. The futuristic approach and one’s smooth convergence to new normal and behavior is referred as success and those who stay bare-footed to catch-up with the evolutionary phases experienced failure at their fate. Indeed, success is the combination of preparation and luck which simultaneously bounced back the mental block there is but one rule hunt or be-hunted.

With the advent of insidious COVID 19 the planet, earth is temporarily shut for holistic maintenance and re-making. Moreover, human civilization requires inventing a new understanding of what it exactly means to be human. There is cooking of new diplomatic order with emergence of new recipe to support the new kind of political philosophy that ensures sustainability during the pandemic and assurance of rebuilding after it passes. The need of time is to build new global public health care systems that can reduce the risk of another pandemic and help save the human life. As soon as human species get adaptable to new taste buds there will be on pathway for defining a new phenomenon and philosophy of what it means to be human. The similar approach is adopted in aftermath of World War II in the wake of massive deaths, social disarray and economic collapse.

In the present world its Coronavirus whereas in the 12th Century was the Bronze Age collapse. Lessons from the past, indeed 3000 years back can help the residents of planet earth explore how to make through the end of world. At the peak of the Bronze Age, there was development of extremely complex and centralized civilizations across the Eastern Mediterranean and Aegean. However, in just a span of 100 years there was hit by one another calamities and it took very long before the region engine started moving pace with advent of knowledge and power of writing. It was followed by series of disasters, which includes a widespread drought in the Mediterranean basin, and the unknown arrival of mysterious sea people. The Bronze Age societies were highly complexed and centralized where the kings or either the bureaucrats decide when, where and how to plant stuff. That was the main point that triggered me so much about our modern day society, which is repeating the same mistake of clashing with laws of nature.

In order to conclude, the new world order in remaking will definitely tame, train and facilitate the human civilization accordingly with some of the new features that were initially disproved but now form the new normal

Indeed, the mere reality survival of the fittest is coherently dependent on governing authorities and their reforms, governance, structure and policies working in the semi-perfect environment with the gazillion other exogenous factors to ensure the sustainability of global populace. Nevertheless, if this system is on the spinning wheel of disruption and took multiple roller coaster rides over a long period at diverse horizon it will ultimately result in collapse.

It is safe to consider ourselves living in the Silicon Age collapse. The microchips the essential ingredient of Silicon age is so far unable to save the global from this pandemic crisis. Likewise, the Bronze based technology was unable to save the formers from system collapse. The power of writing was very uninhibited by the Minoans which left them with no reason to either learn or teach the skill. Likewise, the complex civilization regained itself with the emergence of models that grew out of the post-Bronze age. The city-states remained but there was fall of empires and new emergence of new empires out of them hundreds of year later, which includes Athens, Sparta and Ionia that discovered the complex behavior of trade, patterns of information exchange and Phoenician alphabets, were among the new inventions.

Therefore, after the collapse of Silicon age managing the unknown is to prepare for unknown that is impossible to know now. However, the new world in remaking will call for diverse changes and emergence of new normal that is already in process of reorienting and challenging the modern way of living. Moreover, in the hour of present crisis there is also successful exploitation of available opportunities that translate into more erudite and flexible used of technology, less polarization, and the realization of the importance of the free good and outdoor luxuries.

In order to conclude, the new world order in remaking will definitely tame, train and facilitate the human civilization accordingly with some of the new features that were initially disproved but now form the new normal. The personal interaction becomes dangerous and the social distancing will holds the new normal behavior. The comfort of personal presence of others will be switched to more comfortable experience with others absence. The paradox of online communication will become the phenomena under the prevailing circumstances. Moreover, there is emergence of a new kind of patriotism, which will no longer be equated with armed forces, as the virus cannot be shoot. For instance, in the present circumstances amid Covid-19 front-liners are not the armed forces with ancillary weapons indeed they are doctors, nurses, pharmacist, paramedics, small business owners and employees.

Apart from this, there will be decline in polarization as the unusual shocks hit the global economy after the Covid-19 there is high potential to break the Americans fifty years of legacy of accelerating political and cultural polarization. Indeed these crises have moved the global towards national solidarity and functionality and more based on the President Xi’s ideology of community of common destiny as Covid-19 eventually emerges as the common enemy around the globe. It will also translate into a new civic federalism. Moreover, there will be a revival of faith in serious experts and their research it will no longer be over-looked. The pandemic will also marks the end of intimate association with market oriented society and hyper individualism for instance President Trump is trying to suspend the November election and many other important global events are either cancelled or postponed. With the end of Covid-19, the political paradigm shifts will make more investments in public goods especially health care services. There will be complete change in the religious worship. It is for the first time in history, when all faiths have undergone and still experiencing the daunting challenge of keeping faith alive. There will be exercising of new reforms that ensures plagues do drive change. Furthermore, the regulatory barriers to online tools and digitization will fall. There were creative invention of robots, virtual reality and artificial intelligence, which takes lead of new normal. There will be evolution of digitized health system. Lastly, the bitter truth is human created science is declining overtime but it reigns again with associating supremacy to laws of nature.

In brief, learning from past experiences, promoting creative destruction in present and optimistic to cope up and prepare for new phenomena, new circumstances, new normal, new behavior, new laws and new power poles and pivot is the perfect recipe for successful lead of new order in re-making.

Covid-19: The Hidden Few

Hassnain Javed

MARCH 30, 2020

 

 

Since the start of year 2020, the most buzzword that has run shivers down the spine is COVID-19. Coronavirus has unveiled so many important things, which refer to either the traditional civilization tool or emergence of new civilization. This is the tool to gauge a new nation with effected and non-effected crowd. In my previous articles, I have already provided detail synopsis on the history of this virus. Today, I am going to relate the present day world order with the theory proposed by Samuel Huntington, which had already surpassed the clash of civilization on the grounds of religion. The religion, which formed the perspective and successfully has created the dynamic shift by creating divides, divergence, disagreements and road paved to unknown dimensions for any respective religion among the global society as a whole. Although, those nations who took the religion flag as queen symbolic to peace promotion have checkmate thesocietal conflicts.Therefore, war on religion chapter, hatred on the basis of religion, linguistic, caste, creed and color differences have rightly covered their respective journey from theoretical foundation to its practical implications is done and over.

In the present world, all the clashes have emerged the maximum utilization, efficiency, productivity and projection of hidden few economies. In the new world order, the clash of civilization is among the vital few or either hidden few. Now, what exactly is vital few? In order to understand this phenomenon lets recall the sprouting of information technology industry that germinated the seeds of artificial intelligence, cloud computing and digitization which all translated into the frequent and accessible usage of internet of things. We as a human are actually tamed, trained and facilitated according to an individual intellect, innate ability and circumstances.

Moreover, the 18th- 19th century was marked as the era of industrialization where there is rapid establishment of industries among the both developed and developing economies but the ones who benefit the most are the hidden few those who actually took every measure to well exploit the opportunities for their respective interests. In addition, as the economy stepped into 19th-20th century there was adaption of technology followed by the Great Depression and later the World War II and Cold war. Likewise, in the 21st century there is more advancement of technologies where digitization and Internet of Things (IoT) classified as the new phenomena.

The above-discussed chain of thoughts provided us much food of thought why such interface actually came to existence. The human creation wanted to promote peace and resolve the conflicts based on discussion and improved inter-regional and global connectivity. The leading super power has transmitted the technology into world, which led the key players to counter and protect them with more advancement in technology. It is fair to say that the war is among the hidden few. The one who is going to manage this global event in a more subtle manner will succeed.

It is fair to say that the war is among the hidden few. The one who is going to manage this global event in a more subtle manner will succeed

Based on the Huntington theory we have observed the clash of civilizations based on religion. Although, in contemporary times the clash of civilizations is on bio-warfare and over the era of technology. Based on the blessings of technology, human-to-human connectivity is curtailed and there is rightful acquisition of social distancing ideology. The planet earth came into existence for human creation but it is certainly shut due to the virus. However, China being the representative of third world country will emerge as ray of sunshine to its strong allies based on strategic, geo-economics and defense point of view. This global event will come to end eventually and one of the hidden few would be crowned as the new supreme world order. The present global event and its consequences are beyond an ordinary human imagination. It is somehow alarming bell as off the political and economic dynamic changes after the 9/11 in US. Likewise, the COVID-19 originating from Wuhan, China will spread its effects globally.

As the representative of third world economy, we have to ponder upon various aspects to tactfully upfront all of the preventive and curative measures. Pakistan as a nation is not united and lacks the basic ingredient of awareness in the masses therefore every individual should play their respective part to fight this pandemic.As the Covid-19 although planted virus has become the global event.In order to conclude, I put forth some questions for the readers, which includes 1), Does the clash of civilizations on bio-weapons a new phenomenon? How the key players have devised their victory strategies? Does end of COVID-19 a myth or reality? Do you think will be persistence of long-term micro and macro-economic instability across the globe? Is the COVID-19 vacancies invented and how will be key supplier? Does COVID-19 a paradigm shift for new world order?

Economic contagion via NCov-2019

Hassnain Javed

MARCH 8, 2020

China accounts for almost 1/5 of global GDP. Naturally, there is growing concerns of the Coronavirus 2019 impact on the global economy. There is much research in process to find out the extent and duration of the damage. As, I have discussed in my previous articles China has set an ambitious 6 percent GDP growth target for 2020. However, the coronavirus will make it hard to reach the goal. The virus is expected to have a bigger impact than the SARS outbreak in 2003, which have so far killed 800 people worldwide and has shaved almost one person off China’s growth. When compared with the SARS crisis the economic impact from the corona virus outbreak will be sharper and deeper. By the time, China’s economy has grown four times bigger since then making up almost 18 percent of the global economy and it is not just at China’s problem.

China has grown faster than any major economy to become the world’s second biggest by GDP. Now, China plays key part to provide range of global supply chains. The outbreak will have a knock-on effect worldwide. Especially for those countries that are more reliant on China feeling even more of an impact. The world biggest smartphone chipmaker call come cautioned that the outbreak was a causing significant uncertainty over demand for smartphones as well as the supplies and needed to produce them.

The travel and tourism industry is also among the most vulnerable. Nearly six million people from China visited South Korea last year. However, now data shows that the country could lose a large number of those tourists. Despite, the current situation the major businesses across China will gradually resume operations. Some believe in a V-shaped impact like orange crisis in other words sharp decline in economic activities in China followed by rapid recovery and a total impact on China relatively contained. Therefore, impact on the world economy will also be contained. A rebound after short sharp economic shock is possible under certain circumstances. Major businesses and factories across China need to resume operation under the Chinese government’s systemic economic policies and containment measures. Most importantly, the spread of the virus needs to stop.

China the engine of global trade has stalled and that means slow going for the global economy

Economic contagion, the blow from the coronavirus outbreak could push Pakistan’s economy into recession. As it ripples around the world hitting Airlines,carmakers, tech firms, retail and tourism. How is a disease where 99 percent of the confirmed cases are in mainland China causing such global disarray at the risk? As already discussed China’s economy is big much indeed bigger than when SARS hit China in 2003. At that, time mainland China was the world’s sixth largest economy andit is now the second biggest with nearly 20% of global activity. Its share of global growth is even higher about a third. As China has grown so, have its imports and exports. It now accounts for more than a tenth of global trade so the first thing is that more people are affected by this virus outbreak than they were around SARS. Moreover, the policy initiative taken by the Chinese authorities are quite aggressive and they imply that the Chinese economy has been closed for a long time, which in itself will result in a contract to the economy.Furthermore, it is going to spill over to the rest of the world because China plays an important role both in terms of its size of the global economy and in its trade linked with other countries as it move up in global supply chains. Another important way China’s shutdown will affect the world is through tourism. China is the world’s largest tourist with a hundred and fifty million travelers heading abroad each year. The Chinese are big shoppers when they are overseas. They spend almost three times as much as the average visitor to the UK. Therefore, Burberry and other global luxury goods groups will feel the abrupt halt in Chinese travel. Nevertheless, tourist attractions will feel the change to the Shakespeare Birthplace. According to the recent international statisticsvisitor, numbers are down by 15% in contrast to last year.

However, the more unpredictable impact is through China’s role as a supplier of parts to the world. In cars, China accounted for just one percent of global auto parts exports in 2003 but now provides eight percent. Its role in consumer electronics and electrical components is much larger prompting warnings from companies like Apple and Samsung. Wuhan where the virus started makes more than half the world’s NAND flash products a type of memory used in PCs and laptops that is already causing problems according to one Technology Company. They are already shortages in solid-state disk there is quite a significant level of price rises that has already happened. I mean prices have risen in excess of 25 percent just really in the last four weeks and they are continuing to rise. Now, there is a lot of lockdown on volume purchases. In solid-state disk, as well some manufacturers in the supply chain are limiting the number that you can actually buy. As well, as try to spread the stock out across the supply chain.

In order to conclude, we can see that things are getting worse now. The UK is less reliant on China than big Asian economies but there is concern.Global governments have already been in touch with some of the big business groups asking for information from their members.They are already seeing problems from coronavirus and which parts of their supply chain could be vulnerable.

Even once the virus is brought under control the economic fallout may linger. The cuts to air and sea cargo could mean capacity shortages and higher prices as factories start up again. China the engine of global trade has stalled and that means slow going for the global economy.

Lethal Cornavirus: A Bio-War Or Natural Plague Outbreak (Part ii)

Hassnain Javed

FEBRUARY 7, 2020

Infected and thousands have died. The US is not even quarantining or stopping Chinese flights or people coming in to the US from these areas. In other words, many have gotten through. It is likely already in India, Pakistan, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and other countries and we are not even looking at those flights or people and what about the economic impact?

The Chinese economy is at a cross roads they are losing a trade war the parties losing control starting with Hong Kong the outbreak is a welcome opportunity to seize more properties and exercise more control. I cannot even imagine what the Chinese are thinking right now. Number one they have “lost face” with the entire world their entire markets for manufacturing, production and distribution are totally crushed. Two, there are probably wondering the “pearl harbor” that is happening right now and three, who is to blame for this and retaliate against.

Besides this, we’ve heard a lot about the different structure of the economy of the government in China versus United States specifically through this trade dispute that’s been going on certainly under President Trump as you look it is more authoritative. In contrast, I think China has command control structure they have a lot more control over their economy and their government is centralized in China. In such situation, is China in advantage when they have encountered an epidemic like this or could it be a disadvantage? Well I think it is clearly an advantage in terms of the notion of locking down sixty million people essentially four and a half percent of the population of the country in Hubei province. I believe it will be something very difficult for any Western democracy to easily entertain. I do think however that as far as the trade situation is concerned it will have short-term impacts.

It’s a level of aggravation that can be absorbed it is important to understand 2020 is the fifth year of the China five-year plan yeah and President Xi and his colleagues will no doubt want to do all they can to hit their numbers yeah in 2020

First, the Chinese central government is very preoccupied now with fixing this issue and thus any conversation regarding phase two trade deals with United States is not even remotely on the agenda at the moment. In contrast, if the Chinese economy does take a hit that is sustained then of course there is a further weakening effect to the economy. In addition, it puts China in the position of possibly needing a little bit more urgently a further removal of the tariffs of 15 percent. Tariffs that are still applied to around about 370 billion of Chinese exports to the US.

I would point out that in the case of SARS, back in 2002 too for the first reported case was in November of 2002 and the last reported case was in May of 2004. Of course, there was clear evidence that the problem had peaked long before that 18-month period concluded. However, I think note the notion that there will be a six-month period of partial disruption to the Chinese economy .It’s worth noting that at the same time if they have been successful in confining this to what amounts to 5% of the GDP of China in Hubei province. I think it’s a level of aggravation that can be absorbed it is important to understand 2020 is the fifth year of the China five-year plan yeah and President Xi and his colleagues will no doubt want to do all they can to hit their numbers yeah in 2020. Despite this coronavirus, the fiscal stimulus and monetary easing is conceivably a renegotiation of the tariffs.

I think the Davos crowed now considers run away global warming to be a dire threat to their future. Moreover, China dire threat to their hegemonic control release an engineered virus in the right place at right time. In addition, voila the bricks forming there on financial systems is their own kind of SWIFT their own internet, their own world trade crunches. This divides the world and this is a very healthy step out of a dark killing system. The Cabal losing control over their own casino fake-money-system, even that they possess the fastest computer systems in the world. It seems like deeply desperate sucking greedy to draw more and more wealth out of the world actually. “Let’s drop a virus (bomb) and for our chosen a clean vaccination patent. Wuahh! That is scary and that is why we look away from darkness instead to look and face it. The Government do not give two shakes of a fly’s arse about you or your loved ones, most likely the only one who does is yourself. Get prepared right now extreme isolation seems to be the best way to survive this. In a hadith has been mentioned in al-Bukhari’s al-Sahih on the authority of Yahya bin Yamar, according to which Ayesha, Mother of the Faithful, says that she asked the Holy Prophet about the epidemic of plague.

He said: “It was a scourge sent by Allah unto whom He willed. Now it has been made a blessing for the Muslims. A person who stays in the affected town, shows patience and believes that nothing will befall him except what Allah has ordained, will receive the same reward as a martyr”.

Lethal Coronavirus: a bio-war or natural plague outbreak (Part-I)

Hassnain Javed

FEBRUARY 6, 2020

 

The mystery surrounding the coronavirus becomes denser and denser by the day. As doubts arise about its origin, and everything seemingly points to bio-warfare being waged against China. According to the medical journal The Lancet, the first case of infection dates back to December 1, 2019, and the person infected had not been to the Wuhan fish market. Further, some independent journalists have also raised critical points. Now the world is also aware that in the Wuhan bio lab, the Chinese were experimenting with a modified SARS virus for military purposes. At least three other countries have been doing the same for years, the United States, Russia, and China.

While looking deeper into the matter and jotting the root cause I have found three news in this regard. The first news dates back to 2014, and it announces the construction by China and France of a Bio Laboratory for the research on infectious viruses in China and guess in which city it was built none other than Wuhan.

The second news, which is connected to the first, is of 2015, in which the Pirbright Institute a British government-funded pharmaceutical company asks and obtains a patent for the coronavirus that can also serve according to the patent as a vaccine to prevent respiratory lungs disease such as contagious bronchitis. The third news is about the Bill Gates foundation funding Biotech companies that are trying to develop vaccines against the deadly Wuhan Coronavirus. Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation & others predicted up to 65 million deaths via Coronavirus in simulation ran just 3 months ago.

For some reasons, ever since the “Trump trade war” China has been hit with unusually dangerous and lethal germs, viral agents and illness that have attacked livestock and people. Asian lineage avian influenza virus and China’s African swine fever outbreak is an unprecedented unusual virus strains caused a flu outbreak in China

I would not be surprised if both the US Military and the CIA were directly involved in the development of the deadly coronavirus strain. Bear in mind, the 2014 Ebola outbreak came because of another rogue US Military operation in Africa in which the Soros/Gates-funded Kenema bioweapons lab in Sierra Leone was involved. Surprisingly enough, this rogue US military operation came shortly after Mark Lambert’s appointment as the new US ambassador in the United Nations as an effort to prevent and thwart China’s “aggressive influence” over the UN Security Council’s future decisions.

In addition, John Bolton. What was he doing at the Gates meeting? Now, let us welcome to the Atlanta report where everything apparently points to bio warfare being waged against China. The culprits are the western powers namely the US and Britain. The objective is to put “stress” on China in combined efforts to contain her growing power and influence. The tool they have used the Coronavirus. The best bio-weapons are not going to kill everyone immediately. They burn through too many hosts and die out. Best to make a virus that infects everyone and cause the infrastructure to fail with massive numbers of the sick. It is much similar to what is happening in China right now.

Look at Ebola, it kills too fast and dies out relatively quickly. Coronavirus, officially called the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) its contagion is a respiratory illness, a new type of viral pneumonia in the same family of infection as SARS and MERS it is highly contagious up to 2-week incubation and patients with no symptoms. Just the perfect recipe for a global outbreak. Wuhan a city of 11 million is completely shut down is estimated to have over 25000 confirmed cases and over 43000 infections Wuhan lockdown does not really help to stop spreading in other major cities in China.

Chongqing can be the most affected, followed by Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. China has over 50 million people on lockdown right at this moment just give a little bit of thought over 50 million people and by the way, China is always lying about figures and statistics. The Coronavirus is much graver then they make it seem. Millions of Chinese are stuck in cities in complete lockdown. The first case in Germany was just reported. By now, it is spreading across the States and Europe. Meanwhile, most stocks are hovering around their all-time highs. Remember that after the SARS breakout, they went down to-40 percent and SARS was nothing compared to this one. This is the moment to prevent getting a hit with your pension money. I suspect there will be follow up release until desired population levels are achieved. If they released there is nothing stopping them from releasing engineered Smallpox, Marburg, and Anthrax and so on.

Moreover, they are rising speculation Coronavirus is engineered could be started by the US as an accidental release from the level 4 facility 20 miles from the fish market. Last year mysterious shipment was caught smuggling Coronavirus from Canada. It was traced by Chinese working at a Canadian Lab. A subsequent investigation Great Game India linked the agents to the Chinese Biological Warfare Program from where the virus is suspected to have leaked causing the Wuhan Coronavirus outbreak. Coronavirus arrived at Canada NML Winnipeg facility on May 4, 2013, from the Dutch lab. The Canadian lab grew up stocks of the virus and used it to access diagnostic test being used in Canada. Winnipeg scientist worked to see which animal spices can be infected with the new virus. The research was done in conjunction with the Canadian Food Inspection Agency national lab. The National Center for Foreign Animal Diseases, which is, housed in the same complex as the national Microbiological Laboratory.

In March 2019, in the mysterious event a shipment of exceptionally virulent viruses from Canada’s NMI lab ended up in China. The event caused a major scandal with Bio-Warfare experts questioning why Canada was sending lethal virus to China Scientist from NML said the highly lethal virus were a potential bio-weapon. Following the investigation, the incident was traced to Chinese agents working at NML. Four months later in July 2019 a group of Chinese virologist was forcibly dispatched from the Canadian National Microbiologists laboratory. The NML is Canadian only level-4 facility and one of only a few in North America equipped to handle the world deadliest diseases including Ebola, SARS, Coronavirus, etc.

People have speculated that there might be a connection between these two events. Perhaps they wonder that the Chinese have been stealing the weaponized viral agents. Perhaps they wonder that they are caught and then expelled from NWL. However, something else was going on possibly something else that had to be done in secret and kept away from the Chinese scientist. Three months later On October 18th the John Hopkins Center for Health Security in conjunction with World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates foundation brought together “15 leaders of business, government and public health” to simulate a scenario in which a Coronavirus epidemic was ravaging the planet major participation where American Military leadership and certain neocon political figures.

The Chinese were not invited the member took notes and then returned to their day to day operations two months later a very similar coronavirus epidemic hit China. The first accordance is in December 2019. Thus appeared to be of minor concern the incubation period has not been definitively started but once infection began that spread was surprisingly rapid. After the first case was confirmed, the initial symptoms were mild which permitted many people to travel before stronger symptoms were detected. On December 31, 2019, the World Health Organization (WHO) was informed of an outbreak of “pneumonia of unknown cause” detected in Wuhan city. Hubei province, China the seventh largest city in China with 11 million residents. As of February 1, 2020, there are over 11719 cases of 2019-nCoV confirmed globally including cases in at least 20 regions in China and 9 foreign countries.

to be continued (Part-ii)